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Power Sector Reforms in Ethiopia:
Implications for Rural Electrification
by
Mengistu Teferra
Executive
Summary
This study
attempts to examine to what extent the existing legal and regulatory framework (LRF)
in Ethiopia will assist rural electrification and then recommend further policy
measures that may be taken to enhance rural electrification (RE), particularly
through local private investment that is now being encouraged in the context of
the power sector reform agenda. The study objective itself emanates from the
need to explore an alternative approach to RE, which is now solely undertaken by
the public utility (EEPCO). Despite sustained efforts by EEPCO, the
electrification level in Ethiopia remains at a mere 13%, and is limited to urban
areas.
The study (undertaken in two parts) examined several
factors considered to be important in promoting rural electrification in
Ethiopia. These include:
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The financial and technical capability of local
investors,
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The viability and attractiveness of RE as a
business area for private investors, including treatment of private
investment in RE under the current LRF,
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Transparency and efficiency of licensing
procedures,
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Tariff setting, structures and levels, and the
potential for subsidies.
Furthermore, the local performance of RE in Ethiopia
was examined in the light of international experiences in Africa and Latin
America. Thus, the experiences of Ghana, Tanzania, Bolivia and Chile have been
examined to some extent.
The conclusions arrived at in part II study are the
following:
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The licensing procedure as set out in the
Electricity Operations Regulations does not appear to pose any serious
hurdles for private investment in RE; However, delegation of licensing and
tariff setting authority to the appropriate Regional Bureaux could assist
local investors in RE by decentralising decision making.
-
Although electricity tariff in Ethiopia is
controlled and set by Government, it is basically set on 'cost + profit
margin' principles. The marginal cost tariff arrived at in 1986 has since
remained an important benchmark in terms of checking the relative magnitude
of tariffs set for various categories of consumers. The LRMC tariff would
continue to be important in reducing subjectivity in the application of
'cost + profit margin' principles in tariff setting.
-
Since the tariff is set on 'cost + profit
margin' principles, electricity suppliers would be assured of returns on
investment, as long as the consumers are able to take the price.
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The current average tariff of 4.9 USc/ kWh,
which has been in effect since April 1998, has resulted in a satisfactory
financial performance for EEPCO as a whole. However, diesel centres would
need tariff levels at least 6 times the current rates to expect any
financial returns on investment.
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The study of a privately- run diesel station at
Gewane, Eastern Ethiopia, indicates that supply costs in small diesel
centres can be as much as 2.60 Birr /kWh (or 31 USc/kWh at year 2001
exchange rates), excluding amortisation of initial investment. The supply
cost in private diesel centres is thus much higher than the current average
tariff of 4.9 USc/ kWh in the EEPCO system and basically poses affordability
problems to rural consumers.
-
From the point of view of private sector
participation in RE using diesel-based supply, the basic challenge does not
lie in getting approval for sufficiently high rates of tariff, but rather in
cutting down on supply costs to a level affordable to the rural consumers.
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At the level of policy analysts and policy
makers, the challenge ahead is one of instituting a narrowly targeted system
of subsidies to improve the affordability of electricity to rural
consumers. Experiences from Latin American countries (Bolivia, Argentina,
and especially Chile) indicate that subsidising the initial investment is
simpler to implement, attractive to private investors in RE, and ensures the
lowest tariff rates to the rural customers in these countries.
-
Private operators in RE go by substandard
electricity supply infrastructure to minimise costs. Strict application of
the requirements in the Electricity Proclamation and in the Electricity
Operations Regulation is likely to frustrate operators in RE, at least in
respect of adherence to technical standards of electricity supply.
Relaxation of the technical requirements on electricity distribution
infrastructure, on the other hand, would be welcome by investors.
The above conclusions led to the proposal of the
following set of policy options for enhancing RE through local private
investment that is now being encouraged in the context of the power sector
reform agenda:
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Delegation of the licensing and tariff setting authority, for investments in
RE, to the appropriate Regional Bureaux
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Relaxation of the technical requirements on electricity distribution
infrastructure in RE
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Direct
subsidy of initial investment, in part or in full, on the generation
facility or 15 KV grid extension for RE (if the latter is explicitly
legalized as a private investment business area).
Policy options i and ii involve administrative
measures to facilitate the requirements on private investors taking up RE. The
options do not entail heavy financial, institutional or management burden on the
Government, but are likely to contribute to the attractiveness of RE to private
investment. Policy option iii has its origins in Chile and other Latin American
countries. It is an approach that contributed immensely to rural electrification
in Chile in the 1990s. This approach does entail financial burden on the
Treasury, but the subsidy level appears to be within the means of the Treasury.
These policy options cannot be looked upon as a
panacea for the problems constraining RE in Ethiopia. As stated in the
introductory sections of this article, the problems surrounding RE are
multi-faceted, and so too are the remedial measures that may have to be taken.
The current study has merely looked at ways of attracting private investment
into RE to supplement the on-going single - handed effort by the national
utility EEPCO. In most cases, the private sector may not be attracted even when
the policy measures listed above have been put in place. However, some richer
rural communities may be willing to take the high prices that private investors
would be demanding for electricity services. Such centres would still remain
unattractive for EEPCO, which is only allowed to operate on uniform (and
effectively lower) tariff throughout its system. By default, private investment
can be attracted to and operate successfully in such centres
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